• Fordham D.A., Brown S.C., Wigley T.M.L., Rahbek C. (2019) Cradles of diversity: unlikely relics of regional climate stability. Current Biology. Accepted Manuscript

  • Roy-Dufresne E., Lurgi Rivera M, Brown S.C., +33 authors and Fordham DA (2019) The Australian National Rabbit Database: 50 years of population monitoring of the invasive European Rabbit. Ecology Accpeted Manuscript

  • Mellin C. , Matthews S. , Anthony K.R., Brown S.C., Caley M.J., Johns K. , Osborne K. , Puotinen M. , Thompson A. , Wolff N.H., Fordham D.A. and MacNeil M.A. (2019) Spatial resilience of the Great Barrier Reef under cumulative disturbance impacts. Glob Change Biol. Accepted Manuscript. doi:10.1111/gcb.14625

  • MacNeil, M.A., Mellin C., Matthews S., Wolff N.H., McClanahan T.R., Devlin M., Drovand C., Mengersen K. and Graham N.A.J. (2019) Water quality mediates resilience on the Great Barrier Reef. Nature Ecology & Evolution 3(4) 620-627

  • Mellin C., Thompson A., Jonker M.J. and Emslie M.J. (2019) Cross-Shelf Variation in Coral Community Response to Disturbance on the Great Barrier Reef. Diversity 11, 38.

  • Meek P.D., Brown S.C., Wishart J., Milne H., Aylett P., Humphrys S., Ballard G. and Fleming P. (2019) Efficacy of lethal-trap devices to improve the welfare of trapped wild dogs. Wildlife Research 46, 89-95.

  • Matthews, S. A., Mellin C., MacNeil A., Heron S.F., Skirving W., Puotinen M., Devlin M.J.,Pratchett M. (2019) High‐resolution characterization of the abiotic environment and disturbance regimes on the Great Barrier Reef, 1985–2017. Ecology 100(2):e02574. 10.1002/ecy.2574


  • Nogués-Bravo D., Rodríguez-Sánchez F., Orsini L., de Boer E., Jansson R., Morlon H., Fordham D.A., Jackson S. (2018) Cracking the code of biodiversity responses to past climate change. Trends in Ecology & Evolution

  • Martínez B., Radford B., Thomsen M.S., Connell S.D., Carreño F., Bradshaw C.J.A., Fordham D.A., Russell B.D., Gurgel C.F.D., Wernber, T. (2018) Distribution models predict large contractions of habitat-forming seaweeds in response to ocean warming. Diversity and Distributions 24(10) 1350-1366.

  • Jessop T.S., Ariefiandy A., Purwandana D., Ciofi C., Imansyah J., Benu Y.J., Fordham D.A., Forsyth D.M., Mulder R.A., Phillips, B.L. (2018) Exploring mechanisms and origins of reduced dispersal in island Komodo dragons. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 285(1891).

  • Fordham D.A., Nogues-Bravo D. (2018) Open-access data is uncovering past responses of biodiversity to global environmental change Past Global Changes Magazine, vol. 26(2), 77, 2018

  • Lurgi M., Ritchie E.G., Fordham D.A. (2018) Eradicating abundant invasive prey could cause unexpected and varied biodiversity outcomes: the importance of multi-species interactions Journal Applied Ecology 55 (5), 2396-2407

  • Wells K., Fordham D.A., Brook B.W., Cassey P., Cox T., O’Hara R.B., Schwensow N. (2018) Disentangling synergistic disease dynamics: implications for the viral biocontrol of rabbits. Journal of Animal Ecology doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.12871

  • Ullah H., Nagelkerken, I., Goldenberg, S.U., Fordham D.A., 2018. Climate change could drive marine food web collapse through altered trophic flows and cyanobacterial proliferation. PLoS Biology 16(1) e2003446.

  • Fordham D.A., Bertelsmeier C., Brook B.W., Early R., Neto D., Brown S.C. et al. (2018) Why decadal to century timescale paleoclimate data is needed to explain present-day patterns of biological diversity and change Global Change Biology DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13932

  • Fordham D.A, Saltré F.,Brown S.C., Mellin C., TML Wigley (2018) How complex should models be? Comparing correlative and mechanistic range dynamics models. Global Change Biology DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13935

  • Sequeira A.M.M., Mellin C., Lozano-Montes H.M., Meeuwig J.J., Vanderklift M.A., Haywood M.D.E., Babcock R.C., Caley M.J., 2018. Challenges of transferring models of fish abundance between coral reefs. PeerJ 6 e4566.

  • Sequeira, A.M.M., Mellin, C. 2018. Challenges of transferring models of fish abundance between coral reefs. PeerJ 6 e4566.


  • Caddy-Retalic, S., Andersen, A.N., Aspinwall, M.J., Breed, M.F., Byrne, M., Christmas, M.J., Dong, N., Evans, B.J., Fordham, D.A. + 11 co-authors (2017) Bioclimatic transect networks: Powerful observatories of ecological change. Ecology and Evolution 7(13) 4607-4619.

  • Deane D.C., Fordham D.A., Stevens A.K., Bradshaw C.J.A. (2017) Niche constraints and dispersal-limited competition together assemble wetland plant communities. Journal of Vegetation Science. doi: 10.1111/jvs.12546

  • Fordham D. A., Saltré F., Haythorne S., Wigley T. M. L., Otto-Bliesner B. L., Chan K. C. and Brook, B. W. (2017), PaleoView: A tool for generating continuous climate projections spanning the last 21,000 years at regional and global scales. Ecography. doi:10.1111/ecog.03031

  • Deane D.C., Fordham D.A., H, F., Bradshaw C.J.A. (2017) Future extinction risk of wetland plants is higher from individual patch loss than total area reduction. Biological Conservation 209 27-33

  • Mellin C, Lugrin C, Okaji K, Francis DS, Uthicke S (2017) Selective feeding and microalgal consumption rates by Crown-of-Thorns Seastar (Acanthaster cf. solaris) larvae. Diversity 9(1), 8; doi:10.3390/d9010008

  • Wallach AD, Dekker AH, Lurgi M, Montoya JM, Fordham DA, Ritchie EG, (2017) Trophic cascades in 3D: Network analysis reveals how apex predators structure ecosystems. Methods in Ecology and Evolution doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12663


  • Mellin C., Lurgi M., Matthews S., MacNeil M.A., Caley M.J., Bax N., Przeslawski R., and Fordham D.A. (2016) Forecasting marine invasions under climate change: Biotic interactions and demographic processes matter Biological Conservation 204, 459–467

  • Fordham DA, Akcakaya HR, Alroy J, Saltré F, Wigley TM, Brook BW (2016) Predicting and mitigating future biodiversity loss using long-term ecological proxies. Nature Climate Change 6, 909-916

  • Fordham DA, Brook BW, Hoskin CJ, Pressey RL, VanDerWal J and Williams SE (2016) Extinction debt from climate change for frogs in the wet tropics. Biology Letters doi: 10.1098/rsbl.2016.0236

  • Soubrier J, Graham G, Chen K, Richards SM, Llamas B, Mitchell KR, Ho SYW, Kosintsev P, Lee MSY, Baryshnikov G, Bollongino R, Bover P, Burger J, Chivall D, Crégut-Bonnoure E, Decker JE, Doronichev VB, Douka K, Fordham DA et al. (2016) Early cave art and ancient DNA record the origin of European bison. Nature Communications doi:10.1038/ncomms13158

  • Lurgi M, Wells K, Kennedy M, Campbell S, Fordham DA (2016) A landscape approach to invasive species management. PloS One. 11 (7), e0160417

  • Wadley JJ, Fordham DA, Thomson VA, Ritchie EG, and Austin JJ. (2016) Phylogeography of the antilopine wallaroo (Macropus antilopinus) across tropical northern Australia. Ecology and Evolution doi: 10.1002/ece3.2381

  • Caddy-Retalic S., Andersen A.N., Aspinwall M.J., Breed M.F., Byrne M., Christmas M.J., Dong N., Evans B.J., Fordham D.A. et al. (2017) Bioclimatic transect networks: Powerful observatories of ecological change. Ecology and Evolution. doi: 10.1002/ece3.2995

  • Fordham DA, Haythorne S,Brook BW (2016) Sensitivity Analysis of Range Dynamics Models (SARDM): quantifying the influence of parameter uncertainty on forecasts of extinction risk from global change. Environmental Modelling and Software, 83, 193-197

  • Deane DC, Fordham DA, He F, Bradshaw CJA (2016) Diversity patterns of seasonal wetland plant communities mainly driven by rare terrestrial species. Biodiversity and Conservation, 1-17. doi:10.1007/s10531-016-1139-1

  • Wells K, Cassey P, Sinclair RG, Mutze GJ, Peacock DE, Lacy RC, Cooke BD, O'Hara RB, Brook BW, Fordham DA. (2016) Targeting season and age for optimizing control of invasive rabbits. Journal of Wildlife Management doi: 10.1002/jwmg.21093

  • Block S, Saltré F, Rodríguez-Rey M, Fordham D.A., Unkel I, Bradshaw CJA (2016) Where to dig for fossils: combining climate-envelope, taphonomy and discovery models. PLoS One, 11, e0151090

  • Wells K, O’Hara RB, Cooke BD, Mutze GJ, Prowse TAA, Fordham DA  (2016) Environmental effects and individual body condition drive seasonal fecundity of rabbits: identifying acute and lagged processes. Oecologia 181, 853–864

  • Saltré F., Rodríguez-Rey M., Brook B.W., Johnson C.N., Turney C, Alroy J, Cooper A, Beeton N, Bird M.I., Fordham D.A. et al. (2016) Climate change not to blame for late Quaternary megafauna extinctions in Australia. Nature Communications 7, 10511 doi:10.1038/ncomms10511

  • Mellin C., Mouillot D., Kulbicki M., McClanahan T.R., Vigliola L., Bradshaw C.J., Brainard R.E., Chabanet P., Edgar G.J., Fordham D.A., Friedlander A.M., Parravicini V., Sequeira A.M.M., Stuart-Smith R.D., Wantiez L., Caley M.J. (2016) Humans and seasonal climate variability threaten large-bodied, small-ranging fishes on coral reefs. Nature Communications 7, 10491 doi:10.1038/ncomms10491

  • Jones A.R., Bull C.M., Brook BWB, Wells K, Pollock KH, Fordham DA (2016) Tick exposure and extreme climate events impact survival and threaten the persistence of a long-lived lizard. Journal of Animal Ecology  85: 598–610. doi:10.1111/1365-2656.12469

  • Rodriguez-Rey M., Herrando-Péres S., Brook B.W., Saltré F., Alroy J., Beeton N., Bird M.I., Cooper A., Gillespie R., Jabobs Z., Johnson C.N., Miller G.H., Prideaux G.J., Roberts R.G., Turney C.S.M. and Bradshaw C.J.A. (2016). FosSahul: a comprehensive database of quality-rated fossil ages for Sahul's Quaternary vertebrates. Nature Scientific Data 3, 160053.

  • Johnson C.N., Alroy J., Beeton N., Bird M., Brook B.W., Cooper A., Gillespie R., Herrando-Péres S., Jabobs Z., Miller G.H., Prideaux G., Roberts R., Rodriguez-Rey M., Saltré F., Turney C.S.M. & Bradshaw C.J.A., (2016). What caused extinction of the Pleistocene megafauna of Sahul? Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 283:20152399.

  • MacNeil MA, Mellin C, Pratchett MS, Hoey J, Anthony KRN, Cheal AJ, Miller I, Sweatman H, Cowan ZL, Taylor S, Fonnesbeck CJ (2016). Joint estimation of crown of thorns (Acanthaster planci) densities on the Great Barrier Reef. PeerJ 4:e2310; DOI 10.7717/peerj.2310

  • Yates KL, Mellin C, Caley MJ, Radford BT, Meeuwig JJ (2016). Models of marine fish biodiversity: assessing predictors from three habitat classification schemes. Plos ONE 11(6): e0155634.

  • Mellin C, MacNeil MA, Cheal A, Emslie M, Caley MJ (2016). Marine protected areas increase resilience among coral reef communities. Ecology Letters 19: 629-637. DOI: 10.1111/ele.12598

  • Sequeira AMM, Mellin C, Lozano‐Montes HM, Vanderklift MA, Babcock RC, Haywood MD, Meeuwig JJ, Caley MJ (2016). Transferability of predictive models of coral reef fish species richness. Journal of Applied Ecology 53: 64-72.

  • Hunter M, Westgate M, Barton P, Calhoun A, Pierson J, Tulloch A, Beger M, Branquinho C, Caro T, Gross J, Heino J, Lane P, Longo C, Martin K, McDowell WH, Mellin C, Salo H, Lindenmayer D (2016). Two roles for ecological surrogacy: Indicator surrogates and management surrogates. Ecological Indicators 63: 121-125.



  • Fordham D.A. (2015) Mesocosms reveal ecological surprises from climate change. Plos Biology 13(12): e1002323. doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.10023

  • Lurgi M, Brook BW, Saltré F. & Fordham DA (2015) Modelling range dynamics under global change: which framework and why? Methods in Ecology and Evolution 6, 247-256

  • Brook B.W. & Fordham D.A. (2015) Hot topics in biodiversity and climate change research. F1000Research 4, 928. (doi:10.12688/f1000research.6508.1)

  • Purwandana D., Ariefiandy A., Imansyah M.J., Ciofi C., Forsyth D.M., Gormley A.M., Rudiharto H., Seno A., Fordham D.A. et al. (2015) Evaluating environmental, demographic and genetic effects on population-level survival in an island endemic. Ecography 38, 1060-1070

  • Wells K, Brook BW, Lacy RC, Mutze GJ, Peacock DE, Sinclair RG, Schwensow N, Cassey R, O'Hara RB, Fordham DA. (2015) Timing and severity of immunizing diseases in rabbits is controlled by seasonal matching of host and pathogen dynamics. Journal of The Royal Society Interface 12. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2014.1184

  • Prowse TAA, Gillanders BM + 8 authors, Fordham DA  (2015) Evidence for a broad-scale decline in giant Australian cuttlefish (Sepia apama) abundance from non-targeted survey data. Marine and Freshwater Research 66, 692-700

  •  Rodriguez-Rey M., Herrando-Pérez S., Gillespie R., Jabobs Z., Saltré F., Brook B.W., Prideaux G., Roberts R.G., Cooper A., Alroy J., Miller G.H., Bird M.I., Johnson C.N., Beeton N., Turney C.S.M. & Bradshaw C.J.A. (2015) Criteria for assessing the quality of Middle Pleistocene to Holocene vertebrate fossil ages. Quaternary Geochronology, 30:69-79.

  • Saltré F., Brook B.W., Rodriguez-Rey M., Cooper A., Johnson C.N., Turney C.S.M. & Bradshaw C.J.A. (2015) Uncertainties in specimen dates constrain the choice of statistical method to infer extinction time. Quaternary Sciences Review, 112:128-137.

  • Saltré F., Duputié A., Gaucherel C. & Chuine I. (2015) How climate, migration ability and habitat fragmentation affect the projected future distribution of European beech. Global Change Biology 21, 897-910.

  • Lindenmayer D, Pierson J, Barton P, Beger M, Branquinho C, Calhoun A, Caro T, Greig H, Gross J, Heino J, Hunter M, Lane P, Longo C, Martin M, McDowell WH, Mellin C, Salo H, Tulloch A, Westgate M (2015) A new framework for selecting environmental surrogates. Science of the Total Environment 538: 1029-1038.

  • Tanner JE, Mellin C, Parrott L, Bradshaw CJA (2015). Fine-scale benthic biodiversity patterns inferred from image processing. Ecological Complexity 22:76-85.

  • Przeslawski R, Byrne M, Mellin C (2015) A review and meta-analysis of the effects of multiple abiotic stressors on marine embryos and larvae. Global Change Biology 21:2122-2140.


  • Fordham DA, Brook BW, Moritz C and Nogués-Bravo D (2014) Better forecasts of range dynamics using genetic data Trends in Ecology and Evolution 29, 436–443

  • Liu J, Fordham DA, Cooke BD, Cox T, Mutze G, Strive T (2014) Distribution and prevalence of the Australian non-pathogenic rabbit calicivirus is correlated with rainfall and temperature. PLoS ONE doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12315

  • Fordham DA, Shoemaker KT, Schumaker N, Akcakaya HR, Clisby N, Brook BW (2014) How interactions between animal movement and landscape processes modify local range dynamics and extinction risk. Biology Letters 10, 20140198.

  • Gregory SD, Ancrenaz M, Brook BW, Goossens B, Alfred R, Ambu LN and Fordham DA (2014) Forecasts of habitat suitability improve habitat corridor efficacy in rapidly changing environments. Diversity and Distribution 20, 1044–1057. doi: 10.1111/ddi.12208

  • Harris JBC, Putra DD, Gregory SD, Brook BW, Prawiradilaga DM, Sodhi NS, Wei D, and Fordham DA (2014) Rapid deforestation threatens mid-elevational endemic birds but climate change is most important at higher elevations. Diversity and Distributions 20, 773–785. doi: 10.1111/ddi.12180

  • Wadley JJ, Austin JJ, Fordham DA (2014) Genetic inference as a method for modelling occurrence: A viable alternative to visual surveys. Austral Ecology 39, 952-956

  • Harris DB, Gregory SD, Brook BW, Ritchie EG, Croft DB, Coulson G, Fordham DA (2014) The influence of non-climate predictors at local and landscape resolutions depends on the autecology of the species. Austral Ecology 39, 710-721

  • Pearson RG, Stanton JC, Shoemaker KT, Aiello-Lammens ME, Ersts PE, Horning N, Fordham DA, Raxworthy CJ, Ryu HY, McNees J and Akçakaya HR. (2014) Life history and spatial traits predict extinction risk due to climate change. Nature Climate Change 4, 217–221 doi:10.1038/nclimate2113

  • 181, Issue 3, pp 853–864, Bradshaw CJA, Fordham DA and Caley MJ (2014) Strong but opposing β-diversity-stability relationships in coral reef fish communities. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B doi: 10.1098/rspb.2013.1993

  • Bradshaw CJA, Brook BW, Delean S, Fordham DA, Herrando-Pérez S,  Cassey P, Early R, Sekercioglu CH, and Araújo MB. (2014) Predictors of contraction and expansion of area of occupancy for British birds. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B: Biological Sciences 281 doi:10.1098/rspb.2014.0744

  • Kennett R, Fordham DA, Alacs E, Corey B and Georges A (2014) Chelodina oblonga Gray 1841 – Northern Snake-Necked Turtle. Chelonian Research Monographs No. 5, doi:10.3854/crm.5.077.oblonga.v1.2014

  • Shoemaker KT, Lacy RC, Verant ML, Brook BW, Livieri TM, Miller PS, Fordham DA and Akcakaya HR (2014) Effects of prey metapopulation structure on the viability of black-footed ferrets in plague-impacted landscapes: a metamodelling approach. Journal of Applied Ecology doi: 10.1111/1365-2664.12223

  • Sequeira AMM, Mellin C, Fordham DA, Meekan MG and Bradshaw CJA (2014) Predicting current and future global distributions of whale sharks. Global Change Biology 20, 778-789 doi: 10.1111/gcb.1234

  • Purwandana D, Ariefiandy A, Imansyah MJ, Rudiharto H, Seno A, Ciofi C, Fordham DA and Jessop TS. (2014) Demographic status of Komodo Dragons Populations in Komodo National Park. Biological Conservation 171, 29–35 doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2014.01.017

  • Wadley JJ, Austin JJ, Gardner MG and Fordham DA (2014) Fifteen microsatellite loci for use in non-invasive sampling studies of antilopine wallaroo (Macropus antilopinus). Australian Journal of Zoology 61, 399-401 doi: 10.1071/ZO13074

  • Gavin D.G., Dobrowski S., Fitzpatrick M., Gugger P., Heath K., Hu F.S., Rodriguez-Sanchez F., Ashcroft M.B., Bartlein P.J., Blois J., Carstens B., Davis E., de Lafontaine G., Edwards M.E, Hampe A., Henne P., Herring E., Holden Z.A., Kong W-S., Liu J., Magri D., Matzke N.J., McGlone M.S., Saltré F., Stigall A.L., Tsai Y.E., & Williams J.W. (2014). Climate refugia: joint inference from fossil records, species distribution models, and phylogeography. New Phytologist 204, 37-54.

  • Sequeira AMM, Mellin C, Floch L, Williams PG, Bradshaw CJA (2014) Inter-ocean asynchrony in whale shark occurrence patterns. J Exp Mar Biol Ecol 450:21-29.

  • Sutcliffe PR, Mellin C, Pitcher CR, Possingham HP, Caley MJ (2014) Regional-scale patterns and predictors of species richness and abundance across twelve major tropical inter-reef taxa. Ecography 37:162-171.


  • Watts MJ, Fordham DA, Akçakaya HR, Aiello-Lammens ME & Brook BW (2013) Tracking range margin changes using geographical centroids of metapopulations weighted by population size and density Ecological Modelling 269, 61-69 doi 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2013.08.010

  • Harris JBC, Yong DL, Sodhi NS, Subaraj R, Fordham DA and Brook BW. (2013) Changes in autumn arrival of long-distance migratory birds in Southeast Asia. Climate Research 57, 133-141 doi:10.3354/cr01172

  • Fordham DA, Akçakaya HR, Brook BW, Rodríguez A, Alves PC, Civantos E, Triviño M, Watts MJ & Araújo MB (2013) Adapted conservation measures are required to save the Iberian lynx in a changing climate. Nature Climate Change 3, 899-903 doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1954

  • Fordham DA, Mellin C, Russel BD, Akçakaya HR, Bradshaw CJA., Aiello-Lammens ME, Caley MJ, Connell SD, Mayfield S, Shepherd SA and Brook BW. (2013) Population dynamics can be more important than physiological limits for determining range shifts under climate change. Global Change Biology 10, 3224–3237 doi: 10.1111/gcb.12289

  • Fordham DA, Akçakaya HR, Araujo MB, Keith D, Brook BW. (2013) Tools for integrating range change, extinction risk and climate change information into conservation management. Ecography 36, 956–964 doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2013.00147.x

  • Fordham DA, Brook BW1, Caley MJ, Bradshaw CJA and Mellin C. (2013) Conservation management and sustainable harvest quotas are sensitive to choice of climate modelling approach for two marine gastropods Diversity and Distributions 19, 1299–1312 doi: 10.1111/ddi.12092

  • Delean S, Bull CM, Brook BW, Heard LMB and Fordham DA. (2013) Using plant distributions to predict the current and future distributional range of a rare lizard. Diversity and Distributions doi: 10.1111/ddi.12050

  • Bradshaw CJA, Bowman DMJS, Bond NR, Murphy BP, Moore AD, Fordham DA, Thackway R, Lawes MJ, McCallum H, Gregory SD, Dalal RC, Boer MM, Lynch AJ, Bradstock RA, Brook  BW, Henry BK, Hunt LP, Fisher DO, Hunter D, Johnson CN, Keith DA, Lefroy EC, Penman TD, Meyer W, Thomson JR, Thornton CM, VanDerWal J, Williams  RJ, Keniger L & Specht A (2013) Brave new green world – consequences of a carbon economy for the conservation of Australian biodiversity Biological Conservation doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2013.02.012

  • Haby NA, Prowse TAA, Gregory SD, Watts MJ, Delean S, Fordham DA, Foulkes J and Brook BW. (2013) Two scales: fine-tuning metapopulation models used to predict climate change impacts on small mammals Ecography doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2012.07749.x 

  • Sequeira A, Mellin C, Delean S, Meekan MG, Bradshaw CJA (2013) Spatial and temporal predictions of inter-decadal trends in Indian Ocean whale sharks. Mar Ecol Prog Ser 478:185-195.

  • Williams AJ, Loeun K, Nicol SJ, Chavance P, Ducrocq M, Harley SJ, Pilling GM, Allain V, Mellin C, Bradshaw CJA (2013) Population biology and vulnerability to fishing of deep-water Eteline snappers. Journal of Applied Ichthyology 29: 395-403. doi:10.1111/jai.12123

  • Sequeira A, Mellin C, Meekan MG, Sims DW, Bradshaw CJA (2013). Inferred global connectivity of whale shark populations. J Fish Biol 82:367–389


  • Russell BR, Connell SD,Mellin C, Brook BW, Burnell OW and Fordham DA (2012) Predicting the distribution of commercially viable invertebrate stocks under future climate. PLoS ONE 7(12): e46554. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0046554

  • Fordham DA, Sinclair RG, Peacock DE, Mutze GJ, Cassey P, Kovaliski J, Capucci L and Brook BW (2012) European rabbit survival and recruitment are linked to epidemiological and environmental conditions in their exotic range. Austral Ecology, 37, 945-957 doi: 10.1111/j.1442-9993.2011.02354.

  • Gregory SD, Brook BW, Goosssens B, Ancrenaz M, Alfred R, Ambu LN and Fordham DA  (2012) Long-term field data and climate-habitat models show that orangutan persistence depends on effective forest management and greenhouse gas mitigation PLoS ONE 7(9): e43846. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0043846

  • Fordham DA, Watts MJ, Delean S, Brook BW, Heard LMB and Bull CM. (2012) Managed relocation as an adaptation strategy for mitigating climate change threats to the persistence of an endangered lizard. Global Change Biology 18, 273-2755  doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02742.x

  • Read JL, Kovack K-J, Brook BW and Fordham DA. (2012) Booming during a bust. Asynchronous populations responses of arid zone lizards to climate variables. Acta Oecologia. 40, 51-61 doi:10.1016/j.actao.2011.09.006

  • Harris JBC, Fordham DA et al. (2012) Managing the long-term persistence of a rare cockatoo under climate change. Journal of Applied Ecology 49, 785-794 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2012.02163.x

  • Hindell MA, Bradshaw CJA,Brook BW, Fordham DA, Kerry K, Hull C, McMahon CR (2012) Long-term breeding phenology shift in royal penguins linked to changes in climate. Ecology and Evolution doi:10.1002/ece3.281

  • Fordham DA, Akçakaya HR, Araújo MB et al. (2012) Plant extinction risk under climate change: are forecast range shifts alone a good indicator of species vulnerability to global warming? Global Change Biology 18, 1357–1371 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02614.x

  • Harris JBC, Scheffers BR, Leighton R, Wanger TC, Sodhi NS, Fordham DA and Brook BW (2012) Conserving imperiled species: a comparison of the IUCN Red List and U.S. Endangered Species Act. Conservation Letters 5, 64-72 doi: 10.1111/j.1755-263X.2011.00205.x

  • Bradshaw CJA, McMahon CR, Miller PS, Lacy RC, Watts MJ, Verant ML, Pollack JP, Fordham DA, Prowse TA and Brook BW (2012) Novel coupling of individual-based epidemiological and demographic models predicts realistic dynamics of tuberculosis in alien buffalo. Journal of Applied Ecology 49, 268-277 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2011.02081.x

  • Fordham DA, Wigley TML, Watts MJ, Brook BW (2012) Strengthening forecasts of climate change impacts with multi-model ensemble averaged projections using MAGICC/SCENGEN 5.3. Ecography 35, 4-8. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2011.07398.x

  • Mellin C, Russell BR, Connell SD, Brook BW & Fordham DA (2012) Geographic range determinants of two commercially important marine molluscs. Diversity and Distributions 18, 133-146 doi: 10.1111/j.1472-4642.2011.00822.x

  • Mellin C, Parrott L, Andrefouet S, Bradshaw CJA, MacNeil MA, Caley MJ (2012) Multi-scale marine biodiversity patterns inferred efficiently from habitat image processing. Ecological Applications 22:792-803.

  • Sequeira A, Mellin C, Rowat D, Meekan MG, Bradshaw CJA (2012) Ocean-scale prediction of whale shark distribution. Diversity and Distributions 18:504-51

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